AGW: “It is December and Warm! Clearly Global warming!”
Science: “It has been this warm in December many times.”
AGW: “But more heat in a system means more bad weather!”
Science: “Cool Magic system you’ve created there. Non-science.”
Of course, this is ironic. Heavy rain does not mean they get their proof of global warming. Unseasonal heavy rain is just that, unseasonal heavy rain. Unseasonal things happen all the time, seasons are, to mis-quote a famous movie pirate: Weather is more of a guideline, really, than a rule.
Ok, so what if the basic premise is correct. We agree that the temperature is 0.3 to 0.4 degrees C higher than in the 70’s or early 80’s. Is the weather worse?
Well, lets look at hurricane statistics. We’ll look at the late 70’s and Early 80’s:
|1975||Sep||FL, NW3; I-AL1||3||955||—–||Eloise|
|1979||Sep||FL, SE2, NE2; GA, 2; SC, 2||2||970||—–||David|
|1979||Sep||AL, 3; MS, 3||3||946||—–||Frederic|
|1984||Sep||* NC, 2||2||949||95||Diana|
10 Hurricane in 10 years. Compare to current values:
|2004||Aug||* NC, 1||1||972||70||Alex|
|2004||Aug||FL, SW4, SE1, NE1; SC, 1; NC, 1||4||941||130||Charley|
|2004||Sep||FL, SE2, SW1||2||960||90||Frances|
|2004||Sep||AL, 3; FL, NW3||3||946||105||Ivan|
|2004||Sep||FL, SE3, SW1, NW1||3||950||105||Jeanne|
|2005||Jul||FL, NW3; I-AL 1||3||946||105||Dennis|
|2005||Aug||FL, SE1, SW1; LA, 3; MS, 3; AL, 1||3||920||110||Katrina|
|2005||Sep||* NC, 1||1||982||65||Ophelia|
|2005||Sep||FL, SW1; LA, 3; TX, N2||3||937||100||Rita|
|2005||Oct||FL, SW3; FL, SE2||3||950||105||Wilma|
|2007||Sep||TX, N1; LA, 1||1||985||80||Humberto|
|2008||Sep||TX, N2; LA, 1||2||950||95||Ike|
|2012||Oct||* NY, 1||1||942||65||Sandy|
Wow, 2005 and 2004 were huge. 11 hurricane in 2 years – 20 in 10 years. Hugely more. Of course, had I conveniently started at 2006, there would have been 8 hurricane in 9 years. Slightly less. We had a couple bad years, then things returned to normal.
Weird, so if you change your starting dates to useful numbers, you can completely change your answer? Again, the excitement isn’t that the world has warmed. The argument is that the warming is unusual. We Deniers, believe that the warming is natural, not man-made. Will the warming affect climate? That is an interesting subject, but not a politically useful one.